Friday, November 16, 2018

16-NOV Bracket Projections: Multi Team Event Season

Teams with a Zero
We’re a week and a half into the season and 349 of the 353 Division I programs have played a game against D1 competition.  Three of the remaining four, Liberty, Princeton, and Howard, are in action today leaving just Sacramento State who will play their first D1 game next Tuesday.  On the flip side, ten programs have played four D1 games, with only Pittsburgh notching a perfect 4-0 start.  109 programs have yet, including the four above, have yet to experience a D1 loss.  123 teams are still searching for that first win. 

Notable Games
This weekend's top five as I see them (2-3 last week, 4-6 overall):
#5 Vermont at Louisville, Fri – Louisville 75, Vermont 69
#4 Indiana at Arkansas, Sun – Indiana 74, Arkansas 73
#3 Furman at Villanova, Sat – Villanova 78, Furman 71
#2 Louisiana at Kansas, Fri - Kansas 79, Louisiana 75
#1 Oregon State vs Old Dominion, Fri – Old Dominion 70, Oregon State 68

My updated bracket can be found below.  Right now, the weighting is 77% last year/pre-season and 23% results from this season.

Swapping out six auto bids this weekend:
Atlantic Sun- Lipscomb (Florida Gulf Coast)
CUSA- Marshall (Middle Tennessee)
Big West- UC Irvine (UC Santa Barbara)
MEAC- Norfolk State (North Carolina Central)

The following two are effectively reversing out swaps made in the last bracket
CAA- Northeastern (Charleston)
Summit- South Dakota (South Dakota State)

Also, swapping in five at larges including Florida, San Diego State, TCU, Utah, and LSU.  Marquette, Creighton, Seton Hall, Xavier, and Wichita State have dropped out.   

As mentioned a few posts back, 43 programs are chasing their first NCAA tournament appearance this season, however two are those, North Alabama and Cal Baptist, are making their transition into Division I and ineligible this season.  The full list can be found here.  None of these teams are currently in my bracket.

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